Gold (XAU/USD) – Repeated Attempts at a New All-Time High, US Retail Sales Impact
Gold has been making repeated attempts to breach its previous all-time high of $2,485/oz, but each time it faces rejection. The strong US retail sales report has added pressure, preventing a significant breakout.
Key Points:
- Gold struggles to break above resistance as it faces strong selling pressure.
- Weekly net-short positions have seen a notable increase.
After the release of stronger-than-expected US retail sales data, gold is under renewed pressure. Market expectations for a 50 basis point rate cut have decreased from 38% to 25%, while the likelihood of a smaller 25 basis point cut has increased from 62% to 75%.
Gold continues to challenge its mid-July all-time high of $2,484/oz and is expected to make another attempt, though it may take a little more time. The daily chart remains technically bullish, with short-term higher lows and supportive simple moving averages. Initial support is seen at the 20-day simple moving average (DSMA) of $2,417/oz, followed by $2,400/oz. However, a break below $2,380/oz could invalidate the
short-term bullish outlook.
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